Archive for the ‘Impulse wave’ Category

Giving one more shot for short AUDUSD

Update (8am, June 28) This plan has been canceled before execution

To summarize the last AUDUSD trade, it was a great entry point and total miss of the exit point, ended as a break-even trade.

Seeing that 1.02267 resistance (.1) is intact, I am thinking to give one more shot of being short AUDUSD. The descent from 1.02244 (.4) to 0.9965 you can see in hourly chart can clearly be counted as an impulse. So, I will sell some AUDUSD when 0.9965 breaks down.

Still holding AUDUSD short positions

So far so good. I am actually thinking to increase the position once it goes lower than 0.9686 (.3)

EURUSD: Holding on to the short position

Wave 2 I had been anticipating when I wrote the previous post happened when Swiss Central Bank intervened. The initial rebound to 1.4280 was followed by new low at 1.3970. This meant Wave 2 was either an expanded flat or running flat. The second upward leg of this correction stopped at 1.4149, so Wave 2 ended as a running flat. This was when I set sell entry order at 1.3959. The entry order was executed as ECB announcement suggested the rising of dovish tone of the central bank. Stop loss was set above the high of Wave 2: 1.4291.

It was a least stressful operation so far as my position soon started to make potential profit. EURUSD accelerated the descent about 24 hours later as Jürgen Stark’s resignation from ECB’s executive board was reported. The initial resistance level, July 12 low of 1.3837, was easily broken down, and the EURUSD seems to be heading towards the low of February 14, 2011: 1.3428. This is almost coincident to my target: below 1.3450.

Real time trading tweets

The plan in the article may get rejected any time, so please check out my tweets on Twitter.

Current risk exposure:

"","","","","$29,058.30","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","41.95%","","","2.00%","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","","",""
Rational Move always use stop loss orders, and this is the worse case potential loss over the capital for the currently open positions. This is unrealized loss is less or equal to the risk exposure.

Capital growth

From recent 100 trades (%) The growth right before the 1st trade is set to 0%.
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Drawdowns

From recent 100 trades (%)
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Total returns

Since inception
(Aug 10, 2009)
Year-to-date Quarter-to-date
0% 0% 0%
This is a normalized value: the return on each trade is normalized against the capital just before the trade execution. This way, it is eliminating the effect by the capital change from deposits and withdrawals. The calculation thus reflects the trading performance of each trade. The value does not contain unrealized profits and losses. RM's trading strategy never risks more than 5% of the present capital. Not including subtraction by tax.

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